Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Novak * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Morris * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| E. Smotrycz * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Douglass | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Horford | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. McLimans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Christian | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Bartelstein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Akunne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| J. Cobb * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Shurna * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 33 | - |
| L. Mirkovic * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| D. Crawford * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Curletti | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Capocci | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Nichols | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hearn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter