Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +2 (51-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nelson * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-11 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 16 | - |
| S. Gillette * | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Jordan * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Moore * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Jones | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Lemmons | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamel Brown * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Michael Alvarado * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| George Beamon * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Demetrius Jemison * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mohamed Koita * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kidani Brutus | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Andrew Gabriel | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Nick Walsh | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter