Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +19 (85-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallace * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| E. Ross * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| R. Chubb * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Payne * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Langford * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| A. Forbes | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Denson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 26 | - |
| D. Bost * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 17 | - |
| R. Benock * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K. Augustus * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| R. Sidney * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 28 | - |
| J. Steele | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| W. Lewis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. Bryant | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Reik | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| S. Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| B. Bolen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Luczak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter