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2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Oakland Golden Grizzlies Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Spread Result
Elo 83.5% 16.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Margin 81.9% 18.1% -8.3 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -18 (68-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hamilton 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 1 0 5 31 38 -
W. Hudson 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 8 15 -
K. Benson 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 4 2 10 20 -
L. Wright 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 1 0 6 19 -
D. Valentine 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 4 11 15 -
T. Bader 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
R. Bass 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 11 12 -
I. Milutinovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Howenstine 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Asbury 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Plackemeier 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 7 11 -
Frank Gaines 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 1 4 17 27 -
Ben Botts 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 12 17 -
Michael Kibiloski 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 6 12 -
Antwaun Boyd 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
John Peckinpaugh 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Jeremy Mixon 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 10 14 -
Trey McCorkle 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Oleg Kovalov 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jason Smeathers 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter