Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -5 (54-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Kenny Harris * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Denver Holmes * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kavon Lacey * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Pieter van Tongeren * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Clint Hopf | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Troy Taylor | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ned Cox | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Jahr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Peeler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cousin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Austin Hill * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Blake Mishler | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Blue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter