Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -5 (54-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ryan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| K. Harris * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| D. Holmes * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Lacey * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| P. van Tongeren * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Hopf | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. Taylor | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| N. Cox | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jahr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Peeler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cousin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Hill * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Rubin | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| B. Mishler | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Blue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter