๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 85.7% 14.3% - โœ“
Margin 86.0% 14.0% -10.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 78.9% 21.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.7% 8.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -9 (57-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vlad Moldoveanu * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 26 35 -
Nick Hendra * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 8 12 -
Troy Brewer * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 11 17 -
Steve Luptak * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 1 6 -
Stephen Lumpkins * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 14 22 -
Tony Wroblicky 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 5 -
Simon McCormack 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 2 6 -
Charles Hinkle 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Daniel Munoz 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yaw Gyawu * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 19 22 -
Nick Pascale * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 1 17 27 -
Mitch Rolls * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 12 11 -
Joe Hoban * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 3 10 -
Sterling Melville * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 5 -
Mike Venezia 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Pat Moore 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 2 11 -
Chad Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Brandon James 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Lazar Bogdanovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
John Brandenburg 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter