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2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 85.3% 14.7% -
Bradley-Terry 78.3% 21.7% -
Margin 79.6% 20.4% -7.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% -
Log Adjusted 88.9% 11.1% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield * 37 3-13 2-9 4-4 1 1 2 0 2 12 1 -
D. Jasper * 35 1-1 0-0 3-4 11 6 1 0 0 5 22 -
C. Stanback * 33 6-13 2-8 4-4 11 5 0 1 1 18 21 -
A. Marshall * 26 5-10 0-4 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 12 6 -
B. Massamba * 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Hawkins 29 2-6 2-3 4-4 2 0 2 0 1 10 7 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Q. Thomas 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Mashour 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington * 35 2-5 0-0 3-7 5 3 1 0 1 7 10 -
M. Lyons * 34 3-12 0-1 4-8 6 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
T. Broekhuis * 30 2-5 1-3 0-3 3 4 1 0 5 5 3 -
T. Fow * 26 4-7 3-4 1-3 3 0 2 0 0 12 10 -
T. Fletcher * 20 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 -
S. Hempsey 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 0 7 -
D. Brooks 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
M. Fitzgerald 12 2-3 2-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
Z. Bohannon 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. Brakeville 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter