Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.6% | 20.4% | -7.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield * | 37 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| D. Jasper * | 35 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 29 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Mashour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Fow * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| D. Brooks | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Brakeville | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter