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East Tennessee State Buccaneers 74
@
Jacksonville Dolphins 62
2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 ✓ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.9% 35.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% - ✓

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -12 (62-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Micah Williams 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 4 0 1 21 30 -
Justin Tubbs 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 16 23 -
Mike Smith 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 2 2 9 19 -
Isiah Brown 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 1 11 20 -
Adam Sollazzo 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 3 3 11 18 -
J.C. Ward 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Lukas Poderis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Sheldon Cooley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hardy 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 2 1 1 13 27 -
D. Graham 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 17 -
R. Powell 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Galvin 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 0 6 18 -
G. Powell 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 4 10 -
T. Cohn 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 18 18 -
C. Davis 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 6 -
A. Cabell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
S. Jeffers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Rozier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter