Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Head | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 37 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 17-21 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| B. Cole * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Davis * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Paul | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Leonard | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Leuer * | 39 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| J. Taylor * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 16-18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Nankivil * | 36 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. Jarmusz * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Berggren * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Gasser | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bruesewitz | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Valentyn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Evans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter