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2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Margin 67.1% 32.9% -3.9 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Willhite 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 19 24 -
Greg Mangano 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 17 1 0 2 1 23 42 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 0 6 -
Porter Braswell 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 11 -
Austin Morgan 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 6 11 -
Rhett Anderson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
Raffi Mantilla 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Michael Grace 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Sam Martin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
Jesse Pritchard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tucker Halpern 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 0 16 27 -
Sean McGonagill 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 1 4 14 23 -
Garrett Leffelman 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 10 14 -
Andrew McCarthy 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 9 17 -
Peter Sullivan 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
Adrian Williams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 3 7 -
Matt Sullivan 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Christopher Taylor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Dockery Walker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyler Ponticelli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter