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2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% -
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% -
Margin 67.1% 32.9% -3.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -

Actual: Brown Bears -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Willhite 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 19 24 -
G. Mangano 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 17 1 0 2 1 23 42 -
J. Kreisberg 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 0 6 -
P. Braswell 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 11 -
A. Morgan 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 6 11 -
R. Anderson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
R. Mantilla 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Grace 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
S. Martin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
J. Pritchard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Halpern 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 0 16 27 -
S. McGonagill 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 1 4 14 23 -
G. Leffelman 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 10 14 -
A. McCarthy 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 9 17 -
P. Sullivan 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
A. Williams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 3 7 -
M. Sullivan 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
C. Taylor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Walker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Ponticelli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter