Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.2% | 37.8% | -2.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 39 | 7-14 | 7-11 | 9-14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. White * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Rahon | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Shelton | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dairese Gary * | 39 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Phillip McDonald * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tony Snell | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chad Adams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter