Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| D. Crawford * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Cobb * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Shurna * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| L. Mirkovic * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Curletti | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Capocci | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| D. Roe * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| K. Appling * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D. Green * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 28 | - |
| D. Summers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Lucious | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| A. Payne | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Nix | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| G. Sherman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter