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2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 66.7% 33.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% -
Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% -
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Morris * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 2 22 31 -
Z. Novak * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 15 -
J. Morgan * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 14 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 10 13 -
E. Smotrycz * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
S. Douglass 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 7 -
M. Vogrich 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
B. McLimans 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Christian 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Horford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Akunne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bartelstein 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hulls * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 13 20 -
V. Jones III * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 24 28 -
C. Watford * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 4 17 25 -
T. Pritchard * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 2 9 -
J. Rivers * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 8 10 -
M. Creek 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
V. Oladipo 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
W. Sheehey 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Elston 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Roth 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter