Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Story * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Burton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 25 | - |
| O. Czyz * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Hunt * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| J. Finn * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| D. Elliott | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Conner | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Panzer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Burris | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Anderson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 27 | - |
| P. Noonan * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| R. Arnold * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| D. Montreal * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| W. Perryman | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Nichols | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter