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2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson George Washington Colonials Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“

Actual: George Washington Colonials -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Casey * 39 4-13 0-2 2-3 15 3 1 0 2 10 14 -
O. McNally * 36 4-6 2-2 6-7 3 4 3 0 2 16 18 -
B. Curry * 31 2-7 0-4 4-7 4 3 0 2 1 8 9 -
K. Wright * 21 3-9 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 7 -3 -
C. Webster * 14 2-5 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
L. Rivard 26 4-6 3-4 5-7 3 0 0 0 0 16 13 -
A. Van Nest 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 -
M. Brown 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
U. Okam 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Giger 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

George Washington Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Taylor * 38 4-13 0-4 6-8 1 5 4 0 4 14 7 -
Bryan Bynes * 34 5-8 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 13 10 -
Nemanja Mikic * 25 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
Joseph Katuka * 24 5-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 10 6 -
Dwayne Smith * 23 3-10 0-3 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
David Pellom 25 3-5 0-0 1-4 5 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
Aaron Ware 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Daymon Warren 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Tim Johnson 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Dan Guest 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter