Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -12 (53-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Wise * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Mike Wilder * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Patrick Rembert * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Darren Moore * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 39 | - |
| Daman Starring * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Chris McNealy | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Emil Kim | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Peter Simek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Derick Flowers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donahue * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| David Hanson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 26 | - |
| Jordan Lewis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Lewis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Matt Titchenal | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Eisenhardt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter