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UC Irvine Anteaters 65
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 53
2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 82.7% 17.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - ✓
Margin 67.2% 32.8% -3.9 ✓ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - ✗
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 43.4% 56.6% - ✗

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -12 (53-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Wise * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 2 0 4 13 23 -
M. Wilder * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 11 13 -
P. Rembert * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 8 19 -
D. Moore * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 5 0 1 25 39 -
D. Starring * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 5 13 -
C. McNealy 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 8 -
E. Kim 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
P. Simek 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Flowers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Donahue * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 2 14 23 -
D. Hanson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 0 0 10 26 -
J. Lewis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 4 4 4 -
M. Love * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
S. Lewis * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 4 6 12 14 -
C. O'Brien 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 1 2 5 13 -
J. Johnson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Titchenal 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Eisenhardt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter