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2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 โœ— (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 80.0% 20.0% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Releford * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 17 23 -
JaMychal Green * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 4 2 16 23 -
Charvez Davis * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 5 7 -
Chris Hines * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 2 0 2 18 -
Tony Mitchell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 14 19 -
Senario Hillman 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 3 9 11 -
Andrew Steele 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
Ben Eblen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julysses Nobles * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 10 16 -
Rotnei Clarke * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 13 20 -
Marshawn Powell * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 17 22 -
Delvon Johnson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 14 21 -
Jeff Peterson * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Mardracus Wade 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
Marcus Britt 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 4 6 -
Glenn Bryant 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Michael Sanchez 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
Marvell Waithe 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter