Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Hall * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Smith * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Brian Mills * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mark Hall * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Moore | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jake Gollon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Justin Cecil | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bud Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| David O'Shaughnessey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Graham * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Luis Jacobo * | 30 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Corey Walden * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Graham * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Steve Forbes * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Joel Naburgs | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Graeme Radford | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Jermol Paul | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Liam McInerney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter