Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (98-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 6-20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford * | 39 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bogut * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 31 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 26 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter