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2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% -
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Barton * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 7 16 -
J. Jackson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 15 17 -
C. Crawford * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 7 -
D. Stephens * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
W. Coleman * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 4 -
T. Black 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 5 9 11 -
W. Witherspoon 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 11 14 -
A. Barton 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
C. Carmouche 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
D. Barham 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Dia * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 3 1 6 22 32 -
J. Haynes * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
R. Nyakundi * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 15 17 -
M. Walker * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
R. Harp * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Mangrum 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 15 16 -
J. Samarrippas 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 8 17 -
R. Clinkscales 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
M. Luttman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter