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2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (27.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -19 (71-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 2 17 25 -
J. Shurna * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 1 3 16 26 -
D. Crawford * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 19 25 -
J. Cobb * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 12 19 -
L. Mirkovic * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 8 14 -
A. Marcotullio 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 8 11 -
D. Curletti 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 6 13 -
N. Fruendt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
M. Capocci 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
I. Peljusic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Hearn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Nichols 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 20 23 -
B. Cartwright * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 2 25 31 -
J. Cole * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 3 7 -
M. Basabe * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 2 3 6 17 -
E. May * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Marble 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 1 7 13 -
D. Archie 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 1 0 2 7 -
J. Stoermer 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 8 11 -
Z. McCabe 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 1 -
A. Brommer 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Stubbs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Cox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter