Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (44-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwadzo Ahelegbe * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Lucas O'Rear * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Johnny Moran * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Anthony James * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jake Koch * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Marc Sonnen | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chip Rank | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Austin Pehl | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kerwin Dunham | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ekey * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Cousin * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Austin Hill * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Blake Mishler | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Justin Clark | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Blue | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter