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2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simons 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 11 14 -
Rayvonte Rice 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 8 18 -
Seth VanDeest 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 10 16 -
Aaron Hawley 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 7 11 -
Kurt Alexander 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Jordan Clarke 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 6 5 -
Ryan Wedel 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
David Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 4 -
Kraidon Woods 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 1 3 9 -
Reece Uhlenhopp 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
Cory Parker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colt Ryan 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 11 19 -
Ned Cox 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 15 21 -
Kenny Harris 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 0 1 9 23 -
Clint Hopf 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 10 14 -
Kavon Lacey 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 0 5 -
Troy Taylor 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 2 12 -
Pieter van Tongeren 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 12 12 -
Denver Holmes 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 5 6 -
Lewis Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Matt Peeler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jordan Jahr 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Andy Chinn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter