Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Andy Ogide * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Adam Nigon * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Travis Franklin * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Greg Smith | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andre McFarland | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Bell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maurice Wiltz | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dairese Gary * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 32 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Chad Adams * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 28 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tony Snell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter