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2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +3.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% -
Log Adjusted 87.1% 12.9% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -14 (54-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.T. Durley 29 5-14 0-5 5-6 5 1 1 0 1 15 7 -
G. Blair 25 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 1 5 9 -
T. Murry 25 3-7 1-4 5-6 10 3 0 0 2 12 16 -
A. Ellis 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 8 8 -
G. Hatch 22 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
D. Kyles 22 5-9 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 13 7 -
D. Williams 20 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
B. Smith 16 3-4 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
J. Ragland 15 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 2 0 -2 -
G. Stutz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young 36 4-18 0-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 8 -6 -
K. Korver 35 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 6 -
D. McDermott 33 3-7 0-1 1-3 11 1 0 0 2 7 10 -
G. Echenique 26 3-5 0-0 6-11 3 0 1 0 4 12 7 -
K. Lawson Jr. 22 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
D. Ashford 21 1-2 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Manigat 17 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
W. Runnels 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Stormberg 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Sebastian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Ferrarini 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Dorwart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter