Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +3 (56-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delvon Johnson * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Rotnei Clarke * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Julysses Nobles * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Marshawn Powell * | 21 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Peterson * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Britt | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mardracus Wade | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Michael Sanchez | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Glenn Bryant | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Marvell Waithe | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jemal Farmer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Derenbecker * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Andre Stringer * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Dotson * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm White * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Ludwig * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Green | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Chris Bass | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Storm Warren | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter