Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith * | 40 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 38 | 6-16 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 29 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derwin Kitchen * | 36 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Michael Snaer * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bernard James * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Terrance Shannon * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Okaro White | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Luke Loucks | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter