🐻⬇️🏀

UNLV Rebels 49
@
San Diego State Aztecs 55
2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - ✓
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (55-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Oscar Bellfield * 36 4-10 0-2 2-3 3 4 0 0 3 10 4 -
Tre'Von Willis * 32 4-11 1-7 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 9 4 -
Chace Stanback * 28 4-17 0-4 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 8 1 -
Derrick Jasper * 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Brice Massamba * 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 6 6 -
Anthony Marshall 26 5-10 0-4 1-2 5 0 0 1 3 11 4 -
Carlos Lopez-Sosa 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Justin Hawkins 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Quintrell Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay * 40 2-9 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 -3 -
K. Leonard * 36 3-11 0-2 9-10 17 4 2 0 1 15 26 -
M. Thomas * 33 5-8 0-2 4-7 16 2 0 2 2 14 24 -
B. White * 28 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 10 0 -
C. Tapley * 27 1-8 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 -4 -
J. Rahon 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Shelton 12 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
B. Carlwell 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter