Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (55-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Willis * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 28 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Jasper * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Marshall | 26 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 40 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 26 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| B. White * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Rahon | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter