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2011-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +4 (96-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Jackson * 44 7-24 1-11 0-0 7 2 0 0 5 15 -5 -
Kwame Brown * 41 5-9 0-0 5-5 16 0 1 1 2 15 22 -
D.J. Augustin * 41 4-16 0-6 1-1 4 8 1 0 2 9 4 -
Boris Diaw * 40 8-14 4-7 5-6 11 11 1 2 1 25 35 -
Gerald Wallace * 39 4-7 2-4 1-3 6 2 0 0 1 11 11 -
Gerald Henderson * 18 1-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 -3 -
Shaun Livingston * 13 2-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 6 6 -
Nazr Mohammed * 10 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Dominic McGuire * 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 -
Eduardo Najera 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2 -
Matt Carroll 2 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elton Brand * 46 6-12 0-0 1-2 13 1 0 5 2 13 18 -
Andre Iguodala * 41 6-10 2-5 2-2 10 6 2 0 1 16 23 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 3-14 2-4 2-2 2 6 3 0 2 10 5 -
Thaddeus Young * 34 4-16 0-0 1-6 9 2 3 0 0 9 7 -
Evan Turner * 32 1-7 0-0 4-4 11 3 2 1 0 6 16 -
Lou Williams * 28 8-15 1-3 6-7 2 2 0 0 1 23 11 -
Marreese Speights * 19 4-9 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 10 8 -
Jodie Meeks * 16 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
Spencer Hawes * 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
Jason Kapono 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter