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2011-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% - โœ“
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 โœ— (31.7 off)
Pythagorean 78.7% 21.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -31 (52-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Johnson * 30 4-7 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 0 0 9 13 -
Cory Joseph * 30 5-10 3-7 2-2 4 3 2 0 1 15 13 -
Tristan Thompson * 29 7-11 0-0 6-11 6 2 1 2 1 20 19 -
Jordan Hamilton * 25 5-10 0-3 6-7 7 1 1 0 4 16 11 -
Dogus Balbay * 21 4-6 0-1 1-5 5 3 2 0 2 9 11 -
J'Covan Brown 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
Jai Lucas 17 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 5 0 -
Alexis Wangmene 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
Matt Hill 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamel Outler 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
John Roberson * 32 1-10 0-5 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 -7 -
Robert Lewandowski * 27 6-11 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 1 13 7 -
Mike Singletary * 25 2-9 0-2 1-3 8 1 0 1 4 5 2 -
David Tairu * 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 2 -
Brad Reese * 23 1-6 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 5 0 -
Javarez Willis 20 5-9 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 1 -
D'walyn Roberts 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 5 5 -
Paul Cooper 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jaye Crockett 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Wally Dunn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter