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Maine Black Bears 66
@
Albany Great Danes 64
2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Albany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - ✗
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.3 ✗ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% - ✗

Actual: Albany Great Danes -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Barnies * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 18 24 -
G. McLemore * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 19 21 -
R. Singleton * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 10 3 0 1 9 22 -
T. Mitchell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 9 16 -
S. McNally * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
M. Allison 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
M. Burnatowski 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
A. Fraser 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
A. Rogers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Peay 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 3 -

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Ambrose * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 0 3 12 20 -
Mike Black * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 18 19 -
Luke Devlin * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 10 17 -
Logan Aronhalt * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 7 10 -
John Puk * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 4 9 -
Blake Metcalf 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 6 14 -
Ralph Watts 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Billy Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter