Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Taylor * | 40 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Keaton Nankivil * | 38 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tim Jarmusz * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Robert Wilson * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Josh Gasser | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Mike Bruesewitz | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jared Berggren | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wquinton Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Evans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kebler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Durrell Summers * | 38 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 38 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Kalin Lucas * | 36 | 4-17 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Delvon Roe * | 32 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Korie Lucious | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garrick Sherman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter