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2011-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Stetson Hatters East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +20 (62-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Walden 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 2 13 18 -
Joel Naburgs 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 0 7 -
Luis Jacobo 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
Jermol Paul 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 5 6 6 -
Aaron Graham 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 12 19 -
Ridge Graham 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
Liam McInerney 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Steve Forbes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 0 -
Graeme Radford 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Micah Williams 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 19 23 -
Mike Smith 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 2 23 33 -
Isiah Brown 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 2 9 20 -
Adam Sollazzo 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 6 4 5 -
Sheldon Cooley 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 3 2 -
Lukas Poderis 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 0 1 9 -
Justin Tubbs 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J.C. Ward 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 1 5 -

* = starter