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Dayton Flyers 50
@
UMass Minutemen 55
2011-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 84.7% 15.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% - ✗
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.1 ✗ (8.1 off)
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - ✓

Actual: UMass Minutemen +5 (55-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 12 15 -
C. Johnson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 3 0 10 22 -
J. Staten * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 2 10 18 -
C. Wright * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 6 14 -
D. Searcy * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Fabrizius 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
J. Benson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
M. Kavanaugh 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Spearman 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Parker 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farrell * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 9 13 -
A. Gurley * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 15 18 -
S. Carter * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 7 14 -
S. Carter * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 3 3 5 13 -
T. Vinson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 7 14 -
G. Correia 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 5 7 -
F. Riley 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
H. Bailey 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
R. Putney 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
M. Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter