Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +4 (63-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ekey * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| A. Hill * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Lewis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Rubin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Blue | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Mishler | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fay * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 33 | - |
| M. Seck * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 | - |
| D. Drinkard * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Crowder * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Freeman * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Cleveland | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown-Surles | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| E. Teague | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Mitchell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Long | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bocot | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter