Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +12 (93-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdell Jones | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Christian Watford | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Victor Oladipo | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Hulls | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jeremiah Rivers | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Derek Elston | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Creek | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Sheehey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Bobby Capobianco | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tom Pritchard | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Roth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Thompson | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 23 | - |
| John Shurna | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 32 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 35 | - |
| JerShon Cobb | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Drew Crawford | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Mike Capocci | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter