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2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% -
Bradley-Terry 71.1% 28.9% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.2% 34.8% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% -
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Dunn * 37 6-17 4-11 4-4 5 2 0 0 3 20 7 -
P. Jones * 36 8-9 0-0 4-6 6 1 5 0 1 20 22 -
Q. Acy * 34 2-8 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
A.J. Walton * 34 2-7 2-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 8 6 -
A. Jones * 30 5-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 3 12 8 -
F. Ellis 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Morgan 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 0 1 -
S. Love 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Singletary * 38 2-10 0-1 8-9 3 2 2 0 2 12 7 -
D. Tairu * 35 4-11 4-9 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
R. Lewandowski * 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 4 4 -
J. Crockett * 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
B. Reese * 14 0-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 0 -6 -
J. Roberson 37 5-8 4-7 0-0 2 2 1 1 5 14 7 -
D. Roberts 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 6 -
P. Cooper 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -

* = starter