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2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Margin 60.9% 39.1% -2.4 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaceDarius Dunn * 37 6-17 4-11 4-4 5 2 0 0 3 20 7 -
Perry Jones * 36 8-9 0-0 4-6 6 1 5 0 1 20 22 -
Quincy Acy * 34 2-8 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
A.J. Walton * 34 2-7 2-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 8 6 -
Anthony Jones * 30 5-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 3 12 8 -
Fred Ellis 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J'mison Morgan 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 0 1 -
Stargell Love 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Singletary * 38 2-10 0-1 8-9 3 2 2 0 2 12 7 -
David Tairu * 35 4-11 4-9 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
Robert Lewandowski * 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 4 4 -
Jaye Crockett * 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
Brad Reese * 14 0-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 0 -6 -
John Roberson 37 5-8 4-7 0-0 2 2 1 1 5 14 7 -
D'walyn Roberts 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 6 -
Paul Cooper 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -

* = starter