Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas * | 46 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| C. Black * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. McElroy * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Jakubowski * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Brown * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Calhoun | 35 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| L. Kraus | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Crawford | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Oglesby | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Erger | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mulkey * | 50 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Z. Filzen * | 48 | 4-15 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| M. Watt * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Barnett * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Clifford * | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Watson II | 37 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Alston | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. McCrea | 26 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| T. Robinson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter