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2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 77.4% 22.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -3.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 73.8% 26.2% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% -
Log Adjusted 93.7% 6.3% -

Actual: Utah Utes -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 37 6-15 4-10 2-6 4 3 1 0 1 18 10 -
M. Thomas 34 6-15 1-2 4-7 14 2 1 2 4 17 17 -
K. Leonard 31 9-16 0-1 2-3 9 2 0 1 2 20 14 -
J. Rahon 27 1-5 1-3 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Tapley 25 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
T. Shelton 20 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
B. White 20 3-6 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 1 3 6 1 -
B. Carlwell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Clyburn 39 5-12 2-4 5-6 10 3 0 0 3 17 15 -
J. Watkins 33 9-17 1-3 5-7 2 1 0 0 1 24 9 -
J.J. O'Brien 31 2-10 0-2 2-5 10 0 1 0 3 6 4 -
D. Foster 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 2 1 2 11 -
S. Glover 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 0 3 -
J. Washburn 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Hines 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Kupets 14 3-8 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -
A. DiMaria 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter