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Air Force Falcons 66
@
BYU Cougars 76
2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 0.7% 99.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% - ✓
Margin 3.4% 96.6% +18.4 ✓ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 2.9% 97.1% - ✓

Actual: BYU Cougars +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington 36 4-7 0-1 0-1 6 3 2 0 1 8 11 -
T. Fletcher 30 2-6 0-3 1-2 3 1 3 0 2 5 4 -
T. Broekhuis 30 3-5 0-1 3-6 3 1 0 0 2 9 6 -
M. Lyons 28 5-9 0-1 4-4 3 1 2 0 1 14 10 -
D. Brooks 22 2-7 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 7 1 -
T. Fow 20 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
M. Fitzgerald 15 3-3 3-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 2 13 10 -
S. Hempsey 11 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Bohannon 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 38 6-14 3-8 7-7 3 2 0 0 4 22 9 -
J. Emery 37 2-11 2-11 2-2 3 5 1 0 3 8 3 -
N. Hartsock 36 5-8 2-2 0-0 11 2 0 0 0 12 17 -
K. Collinsworth 25 2-5 0-1 3-4 6 3 0 1 2 7 10 -
B. Davies 19 2-4 0-0 6-7 6 1 1 0 2 10 12 -
S. Rogers 17 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 2 -
C. Abouo 16 3-7 1-4 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
L. Magnusson 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Zylstra 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter