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2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 โœ— (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 29.1% 70.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ—

Actual: Texas Longhorns -1 (81-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker 43 8-27 2-5 4-5 9 1 2 0 4 22 3 -
Alex Oriakhi 40 5-16 0-0 1-2 21 0 1 2 0 11 19 -
Roscoe Smith 33 6-11 1-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 13 10 -
Shabazz Napier 26 6-10 3-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 15 8 -
Charles Okwandu 25 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
Tyler Olander 21 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
Donnell Beverly 18 2-6 0-0 4-4 2 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jeremy Lamb 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Niels Giffey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Johnson 41 5-14 0-0 6-8 5 2 0 3 1 16 11 -
Jordan Hamilton 41 8-16 3-7 1-3 11 3 2 1 4 20 17 -
Cory Joseph 34 4-12 0-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 10 5 -
Tristan Thompson 30 6-9 0-0 1-6 6 0 0 2 1 13 11 -
J'Covan Brown 29 7-14 2-3 4-4 3 2 1 0 1 20 11 -
Matt Hill 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 0 7 -
Dogus Balbay 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 2 6 -
Alexis Wangmene 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jai Lucas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter