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2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% -
Bradley-Terry 76.7% 23.3% -
Margin 77.9% 22.1% -6.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 79.3% 20.7% -
Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Log Adjusted 95.8% 4.2% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. McNally * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 12 18 -
K. Wright * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 3 1 16 31 -
B. Curry * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 1 1 4 8 17 -
C. Webster * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 11 12 -
K. Casey * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 13 24 -
L. Rivard 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 8 11 -
A. Van Nest 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Giger 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Rufful * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 16 21 -
R.J. Griffin * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 6 11 -
J. Trotter * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 10 9 -
K. Crecco * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
C. Weeden * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 6 10 -
M. LaBove 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
G. Bertasius 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 5 9 -
T. Melville 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
N. Jackson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ghogomu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Cyrus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Herring 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Mulquin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter