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2011-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 72.8% 27.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.6% 41.4% - โœ—
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 โœ— (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scotty Hopson * 29 5-9 3-5 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 15 8 -
Cameron Tatum * 29 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Tobias Harris * 28 9-19 0-3 3-4 11 1 1 1 3 21 13 -
Melvin Goins * 26 4-7 2-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 10 9 -
Brian Williams * 23 1-2 0-0 0-3 7 0 0 0 2 2 5 -
John Fields 17 3-5 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 2 1 8 10 -
Josh Bone 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Trae Golden 14 1-3 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Jeronne Maymon 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 2 -4 -
Skylar McBee 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Steven Pearl 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Delvon Johnson * 37 7-11 0-0 3-5 4 1 2 3 1 17 15 -
Rotnei Clarke * 32 4-7 4-6 3-4 6 0 1 0 2 15 13 -
Julysses Nobles * 32 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 8 3 0 3 7 10 -
Marshawn Powell * 27 7-12 0-1 0-1 3 3 1 0 1 14 8 -
Jeff Peterson * 27 3-9 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 9 -1 -
Mardracus Wade 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
Michael Sanchez 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 3 1 4 -
Marcus Britt 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Glenn Bryant 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter