Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +24 (79-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Eargle | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| V. Sulskis | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ashen Ward | 27 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Devonte Maymon | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Blake Allen | 25 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kendrick Perry | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tre Brewer | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DuShawn Brooks | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dan Boudler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Chojnacki | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nate Perry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood | 33 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| H. Little | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Harris | 27 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| R. Broekhoff | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| E. Buggs | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Van Wijk | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Rogers | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Witt | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| H. Vucic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Shelton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter