Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +15 (65-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Harris | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Colt Ryan | 29 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ned Cox | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Troy Taylor | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Clint Hopf | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Denver Holmes | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Kavon Lacey | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pieter van Tongeren | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Jahr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Peeler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Leonard | 33 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Weems | 33 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jermaine Mallett | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Nafis Ricks | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 26 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Will Creekmore | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Patterson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Cooper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter