Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -14 (51-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Murry | 27 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| G. Blair | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J.T. Durley | 22 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| G. Hatch | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Kyles | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Williams | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Ragland | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Ellis | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Stutz | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| E. Orukpe | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Richardson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Cousin | 25 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| A. Hill | 23 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Rubin | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Lewis | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Clark | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Ekey | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Mishler | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Smith | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Blue | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter